Sunday, April 27, 2008

Bad, bad news for global warming alarmists

’A Dog Named Kyoto' alerts us to a very scary report about recent global cooling and the possible onset of a new ice age.

Geophysicist and astronautical engineer Phil Chapman writing in ‘The Australian’ links the current sun-spot minimum to global cooling:

All four agencies that track Earth's temperature ... report that it cooled by about 0.7C in 2007. This is the fastest temperature change in the instrumental record and it puts us back where we were in 1930. If the temperature does not soon recover, we will have to conclude that global warming is over.

It is generally not possible to draw conclusions about climatic trends from events in a single year, so I would normally dismiss this cold snap as transient, pending what happens in the next few years. [But]

... The sunspot number follows a cycle of somewhat variable length, averaging 11 years. The most recent minimum was in March last year. The new cycle, No.24, was supposed to start soon after that, with a gradual build-up in sunspot numbers.

It didn't happen. The first sunspot appeared in January this year and lasted only two days. A tiny spot appeared last Monday but vanished within 24 hours. Another little spot appeared this Monday. Pray that there will be many more, and soon. [None as of this post - to check go here.]

The reason this matters is that there is a close correlation between variations in the sunspot cycle and Earth's climate. The previous time a cycle was delayed like this was in the Dalton Minimum, an especially cold period that lasted several decades from 1790.


It is time to put aside the global warming dogma, at least to begin contingency planning about what to do if we are moving into another little ice age, similar to the one that lasted from 1100 to 1850.

All those urging action to curb global warming need to take off the blinkers and give some thought to what we should do if we are facing global cooling instead.

It will be difficult for people to face the truth when their reputations, careers, government grants or hopes for social change depend on global warming, but the fate of civilisation may be at stake.

Should this comes to pass it will be doubly bad news for Al Gore and his fellow AGW mongers. They will be irrefutably proven to be the idiots we "deniers" know them to be AND they’ll be up to their arses in snow and ice - and, more unfortunately, so will we!


Surecure said...

I wish it were as simple to dismiss Gore and the other AGW panic mongers.

I imagine that if temperatures were to suddenly reverse into a cooling trend, they would simply "adjust" their theories and say that this is only an indication that perhaps their dismissed rapid cooling models (the joke science that the movie The Day After Tomorrow was based on) is perhaps still alive and relevant. Then, they can further "adjust" their theories -- as they always do -- to blame the temperature changes on human contributions of CO2.

Blind faith isn't a matter of religion. It is a matter of stubborn minded humanity. These guys aren't going to go down as easily as being proven wrong. How many times have they already been proven wrong and continue to ignore the facts?

JR said...

While I agree that AGW fanatics would almost certainly attempt to adjust their theories to cover AGC (they've already adjusted their language from 'global warming' to 'climate change') it would be much more difficult to 'explain' and there'd be a lot more skepticism among the public, scientists and journalists. But we'll see.

Otter said...

I have NO doubt they are aware of the situation with the sun, and are working out how to spin it to their advantadge at OUR expense. I am predicting that it will be at least one-two years until the MSM begins to spin for them. Before that, Not One Word.

Halfwise said...

Everybody knows that publicly traded industries cause sunspots.

The only cure is nationalization, or failing that, cripplingly high carbon taxes and a lot of international conferences. Oh, and some biofuels made out of poor peoples' food.